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Episode 269

  • Stock market is due for a huge crash!!
  • There is a new normal, some are saying investing will go back to the way it use to be
  • When some invest, the euphoria of seeing stocks go up is the same that addicts feel from cocaine
  • Many investors view the stock market as a gamble
    • From business owners
    • It's a gamble because people don’t know what they own and why
    • aka no clarity
  • There are risks in everything
  • Cookie cutter approaches and the race to the bottom on lowering fees
  • 5 tips
    • Know what you own and why
    • Get a second opinion
    • Trust in diversification 
      • Asset allocation is just as important!!
    • Be ready to buy the dip
    • Get a second opinion

March 13, 2018

03/13/18
Investing for Success

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Episode 268

  • Radio guests: Chris and Brad
    • Kaplan Insurance agency
    • Property causality 
  • “It's a price competitive situation”
    • Looking for appropriate insurance to protect you and your ownership
    • Must understand where risk lie in other investments, not just investment performance 
  • Channels for insurance
    • Direct
    • Captive arena
    • Agencies
  • Biggest mistakes people make
    • Finding insurance through the wrong people
    • Certified insurance counselor
      • Legal to sell insurance but doesn’t mean they always know what they’re doing

March 8, 2018

03/08/18
Investing for Success

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Episode 267

  • The longer your portfolio is going up the more complacent investors become 
  • Short term moves of markets instead of long term objectives of money
  • Why do you care if there is a financial crisis?
  • Volatility’s an opportunity creator
  • Investors will start to care more about their money when corrections happen
  • People need to understand how their money is allocated
  • The difference between risk and investment
    • Beta of a portfolio is the volatility associated with it compared to a benchmark
  • Risk is relative… it is not absolute

March 6, 2018

03/06/18
Investing for Success

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Episode 266

  • Short term investors are extremely myopic and emotional
  • Big news coming out about Zest
  • Investors will not buy stock when its going up… but they never buy when its on sale?!!!
  • Volatile periods like this are the times that create opportunities to invest in great businesses
  • Stress test example of a radio listener
    • Tolerance for risk/volatility is extremely important
    • Investment objectives matter
  • Investors spend all their time focusing on individual companies and not the portfolio as a whole
  • Time in a business not timing a business
  • Example about “great winners” over the years
  • Reporting structure: you don’t have the most accurate info on how your portfolio is doing

March 1, 2018

03/01/18
Investing for Success

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Episode 265

  • The media is all about volatility and investing in “the market”
  • Technical investing is looking at charts and technical indicators 
  • A 40% pullback is pretty big
  • When you get fully invested at 20%. your downside is 20% and so is your upside
  • Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful
  • Not a fundamental correction, its a technical correction
  • Don’t listen to predictions, listen to process
  • Invest in businesses over time
  • You should have an appropriate asset allocated portfolio
  • Most investors who own mutual funds and ETFs do not have flexibility
  • Corrections are part of a NORMAL market!
  • Consider a rebalance of your portfolio 
    • Static rebalance
  • Do not allow your emotions to get the best of you
  • Headline: put yourself in a strong position to capitalize
  • Most people believe this correction is a deleveraging correction and not a fundamental correction

February 8, 2018

02/08/18
Investing for Success

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Episode 264

  • If you don’t understand how your money is being managed you need to take an investment stress test
    • There are far too many risky investments
  • Modern portfolio theory is used to create allocations for portfolios
  • Your asset allocation is extremely important when it comes to how your money should be invested and the affect volatility may have
  • Everyone has a threshold for loss in the short term
  • Allocated properly, not just diversified
  • Emotions generally drive actions
  • What do you do from a volatility standpoint as an investor?
    • You just stay the course
    • At the same time volatility provides opportunities
    • Created when you utilize your buy discipline and sell discipline
  • Tax loss harvesting
  • Selling weaker positions to buy stronger positions
  • There is nothing wrong with taking profit along the way and lock in some gains
  • A pension is not guaranteed
  • Portfolios are not always compared apples to apples
  • When corrections and uncertainty fall on the market most investors will sell their index fund and will move to cash
  • KISS - keep it simple
  • The great businesses will always rebound

February 7, 2018

02/07/18
Investing for Success

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Episode 263

  • Many retail investors have a lot of money in their 401k and IRA rollovers
    • In investment vehicles where you can’t see what they’re doing in portfolios
  • The market is over valued relative to what?
  • Trillions of dollars are just sitting on the sidelines 
  • 18.7x current earnings- historical average is 16
    • Volatility is mandatory and it will continue
  • Volatility is not risk, it is opportunity
  • Everyone is buying index funds and derivatives and the cycle continues
  • Appropriate asset allocation allows you to buy stronger companies during corrections
  • A variety of asset classes is important
  • Myopic lossiversion
    • In our mind, the likelihood of something happening recently is much lower than its probability
  • We are not in the business of guessing, we are unemotional in the process
  • Secular bull markets
    • Inflation adjusted basis you have a flat market (2000-2009)

February 6, 2018

 

02/06/18
Investing for Success

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Episode 262

  • Always be prepared for a correction
  • We have not had a 20% correction since 2009 at the bottom of the correction
  • How nervous are you in this correction?
    • The pullback is expected
    • If the market still was going to continue going up, this correction was needed 
  • Being able to see what you own in your portfolio gives you insight on how to take advantage of corrections
  • You don’t invest in the stock market, you invest in businesses
  • The noise that is happening right now in the grand scheme of things is irrelevant
  • If you have the correct allocation this shouldn’t bother you
  • Correction started by institutions and end with retail investors
  • Rebalancing decisions must be made as long term
  • Feel of rising interest rates and accepting those can be a reason for this correction
  • Price to earning ratio (PE) people will pay for a stock based on future earnings
    • People buy stocks based upon the future earnings of the company that are unknown 
    • But then they buy mutual funds and ETFs based on historical; performance driven
  • Bong term investing means you stick to a process

February 5, 2018

02/05/18
Investing for Success

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Episode 261

On this episode, Mark talks about:

  • Show discussing the IPS
    • An agreement between the advisor and the investor
  • Allows you to put parameters on what investments you own
  • Not just risk tolerance, but the policies applicable to the investors portfolio
  • Performance expectations
    • Why do people buy high and sell low
    • Move their money constantly
  • Investors don’t have clarity on their expectations
  • You have no idea how your portfolio performs when you own mutual funds
  • Stop asking the wrong questions!
    • Investors always ask what fees are
    • Should be asking about buy and sell discipline
  • Discussion on Claritology

January 18, 2018

01/18/18
Investing for Success

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Episode 260

On this episode, Mark talks about:

  • Maintain reasonable expectations
  • Black swan events: things that are unpredictable and out of any controls
  • You should view investing as a process
  • Bitcoin:
    • Crypto currency
  • Paper gains mean nothing
    • Only matters when you sell
    • Selling should be a process just as buying is a process
  • Why do money managers have bad years?
    • Stick to a process
  • SMA
    • Your money is not commingled with other peoples money (mutual funds, ETFs)
  • DOW jones is a price weighted index
  • Stick to a buy and sell discipline
    • When do you buy or sell?
  • ASK how the money is managed
  • Great businesses do not always reflect it in their stock price
  • Fixed income, gold and silver are horrible investments
  • Bonds and the price of bonds can be very volatile
    • The economy is heating up, tax cuts have come
  • A “melt up”in the stock market when the market becomes fully valued
    • When everyone sells bonds and buys stocks
  • You must remain unemotional and stick your process

January 17. 2018

01/17/18
Investing for Success

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Episode 259

On this episode, Mark talks about:

  • Own a more global portfolio
  • Investors don't like to talk to financial advisor
    • It makes them uncomfortable
    • They hear the same thing over and over
  • Indexes are designed to be guidelines not investment vehicles
  • Discussing issues or experiences with Advisor Josh and Kevin
  • It's not always the guy who knows the most, its the person willing to lead
  • Leadership is incredibly important in an advisor
    • It's not about appeasing a client
  • Work with a firm that enables you to see and understand how your portfolio operates
  • Mistakes investors make:
    • “The fear of missing out”
    • “What goes up must come down”
  • Any pull back investors are waiting
  • We have never seen interest rates this low

January 4. 2018

01/04/18
Investing for Success

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Episode 258

On this episode, Mark talks about:

  • Investors look to advisors to talk about their portfolio first and planning second
  • It's never too late to start
  • Many investors have questions about an investment portfolio first
    • Inherited money
    • Sold a business
    • Have a 401k rollover
    • Etc
  • Investors rarely come in and ask for a financial plan first
    • Nepsis clarity roadmap and clarity compass
  • Investors don’t know what to do with their money and they aren’t happy
  • Are you in it for the long term journey or are you focused on short term gains and returns
  • Facebook question: “Give examples of the Art in investing”
    • Strategic cost averaging
    • Tax loss harvesting
  • Active vs passive management
  • Risk is relative, its not absolute 
  • Not one position makes or breaks a portfolio

January 3, 2018

01/03/18
Investing for Success

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Episode 257

On this episode, Mark talks about:

  • “But this time is different”
    • Every bull market has something different
    • There is still 1 fundamental fact that is constant in any bull market
      • The valuation of a market or stock is only as high as how much people will pay for it
  • Invest in yourself
  • Long term care insurance, life insurance, do you need them?
  • Stress test experience discussed
  • Past performance is not indicative of future performance
  • Characteristics in a portfolio
    • You must have an investment strategy
      • Do you know the strategy for how investment decisions are made?
      • Strategic and tactical
    • Blocking and tackling component
      • What are you doing to enhance your investment success
    • "Tactical allocation”
      • The money manager can justify charging you a fee now
    • Tax loss harvesting
      • Getting the tax deduction against capital gains
  • Investment tactics = investment strategy ?
    • NO
    • There is a strategy, and then there are tactics that help you execute the strategy
  • Headline: “why the S&P 500 will surge to 3000 in 2018
  • "Stocks can easily keep soaring”
  • Despite economic conditions and black swan events, we can not predict them
  • Many investors don’t know WHY

January 2, 2018

01/02/18
Investing for Success

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Episode 256

On this episode, Mark talks about:

  • Continuation on 2018 predictions 
  • More cash on the sidelines, but hitting all time highs (dependent on how your portfolio is invested)
  • Free advice
    • You get what you pay for
  • We believe investors do not have enough clarity in their investments
  • Do not chase historical returns
  • The only benchmark you should focus on is the benchmark of reaching your goals
  • Investors will continue to be over diversified
    • They are not focusing on the efficiency of their portfolio
  • Investors love to pick the benchmark that they think will work best for them
  • Article: “time to remind your clients why they won’t beat the DOW this year”
    • Setting expectations with their clients for planning and investment terms
    • Focus on the plan and the big picture
  • Performance expectations from investors
    • Short term in nature not long term
  • Smart people in the money business are not dumb
    • “The stock market is rigged”
    • Media is making investing a cost issue instead of a value issue
  • Most investors invest in a ray of “hope”
  • Investors will continue to have an unrealistic time horizon for their investments
  • Less than 15% of five star rated funds only three years later had performed at the same level of a 5 star fund

December 28, 2017

12/28/17
Investing for Success

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Episode 255

On this episode, Mark talks about"

  • DOW is a price weighted index
  • Why do you have a bad year?
  • We don’t invest for one year, we invest for the long term
  • How much risk do you take in order to get the return
  • The idea of knowing what you own and why; knowing how things affect your portfolio good or bad
  • Top 10 predictions of 2018
    • S&P predictions ill be wrong
    • Stock prices and sick market will move up and down irrationally
    • Focusing on short term performance will distract investors
  • Strategic cost averaging is investing unequal dollar amounts in strategic areas
    • Static rebalancing
  • Josh and Ken sharing experiences with clients and advisors

December 27, 2017

12/27/17
Investing for Success

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Episode 254

On this episode, Mark talks about:

  • In the absence of value, thus becomes price
  • If an investor does not have a perception of value that they are getting from their advisor then it is only common sense they look for low cost
  • People pay for value
  • You don’t pay Nepsis to manage your money, you invest in Nepsis and invest in someone to do a good job for you
  • Clarity brings greater confidence to the decisions you make
  • It's not a cost, its an investment
  • Can you put a price on clarity?
  • Trump and his capital growth plan
    • Capital sued to build the economy and add more jobs
    • You have to pay more to get the best
  • No tax plan ever appeased everyone
  • This plan “doesn’t give the working class a tax break”
    • If you aren’t paying much tax into the system in the first place, how are you saving taxes anyway
  • It's the 1% that takes the capital they’re making and reinvests it, buys, or donate

December 20, 2017

12/20/17
Investing for Success

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Episode 253

In this episode, Mark talks about:

  • Technical investing and technical analysis
    • You are looking at stock charts to decide based on factors that are used in technical investing
  • "Over bought and over sold”
    • Markets can be those for periods of time
    • Yhat is why you can’t time the market
  • When investors have a better understanding of what they own and why they are more likely to stick to the process
  • Stocks tend to be more volatile
  • Values are relative, not absolute
    • This can make investing challenging for a lot of people
  • When do you start buying something, and when do you sell?
  • MSCIEAFE index
  • Theres no guarantees, fundamentally you need to know what the greatest risks in your portfolio are

December 19, 2017

12/19/17
Investing for Success

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Episode 252

  • Rebalancing is the most powerful tool investors have to buy low and sell high
  • You are setting your allocation to the percentages that you want them to be at
  • Volatility levels eventually even out
  • People are as bearish as they were in 2009
    • Losing out on gains
  • Successful investing has to start with a time tested investment philosophy and strategy
    • You must understand how decisions are make
  • Flexibility and transparency are key to stick to the process
  • Question from Facebook:
    • Are your investments doing the best they can, and are you on track with your investments?
    • You don’t need to know every detail of your portfolio especially if you trust your advisor
    • Rebalancing, asset allocation
  • It's less knowing why you own something; its the fact that you know the businesses in your portfolio
    • You hired someone to give you the insights while they manage it for you
  • Own the best of the best
  • It's always good to tune up the portfolio and prune it
  • People spend their time chasing benchmarks
  • Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria
  • There is so much cash and people are scared they are going to miss out on the market
  • Tax cuts generally don’t bring in big market corrections

December 18, 2017

12/18/17
Investing for Success

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Episode 251

On this episode, Mark talks about:

  • What's coming in the next ten years?
    • “Software will disrupt most industries in the coming years”
  • Think ahead when it comes to your investments
  • If a corporation makes money
    • It's going to go back to the owner in the form of a dividends
    • It may go into the bank account of the corp
    • Directly investing in their own business
  • The tax plan does not only help the rich
  • Wide economic moat
    • Sustainable competitive advantage that a business has that makes it difficult for rivals to compete with
  • The only benchmark you need is whether or not you’re reaching your goals
  • When things are going well a sense of complacency takes hold in investors
  • When things are going well we have the herd mentality
  • It is process that enables you to be successful
  • It's important that you have a plan of action to help you with your investments and accomplish your goals
  • Static rebalancing
    • Rebalance back to the static percentage
  • How do MLPs and LPs compare to stock
    • Stock is equity in a business
    • Most companies that trade on the exchange or c-corps
    • MLPs and LPs have a place in your portfolio depending on your goals

December 12, 2017

12/12/17
Investing for Success

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Episode 250

On this episode, Mark talks about:

  • The job of the media is to get people engaged
  • Bitcoin: went from 1700 to 1800, then moved back to 1470
    • Back up to 1800
    • The actual bitcoin went 12,000 to 9,000 and today closed at 19,000
    • The problem with bitcoin can’t be turned into cash
  • Who is valuing bitcoin? You are - the people buying it
  • A rule of thumb: many investors view those metals as investments - they are not investments!
  • Proxies for currency, they are hedges
  • 24 is the average pike PE before markets go into a spiral
  • Do not let the media scare you from investing!
  • Asset allocation tool, piece you put in the portfolio as part of your portfolio for overall portfolio performance
  • When you have a portfolio and it is appropriately asset allocated every position in that portfolio should be owned for a specific reason for the whole portfolio to perform as one
  • Everything is in the portfolio for a reason

December 7, 2017

12/07/17
Investing for Success

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